Multi-Pathway Risk Assessment
  Description
People are exposed to air pollutants in both “direct” and “indirect” ways. Inhalation is the most obvious and direct pathway of exposure; indirect exposure pathways involve contaminant deposition from air to soil, surface waters, sediments, and locally produced feed and food. These indirect pathways predominate for many important chemicals or mixtures, such as polychlorinated dibenzo(p)dioxins and furans (PCDD/PCDFs), that persist and bioaccumulate in the environment. Cambridge Environmental staff have been among the pioneers of multi-pathway assessments since the mid-1980’s, when we conducted multi-pathway risk assessments of emissions from waste-to-energy facilities and other stationary sources. Over the years our scientists and engineers have developed and applied models, and analyzed relevant data, to generate best estimates and upper-bound estimates of risk from many pathways, including, for example, risks to nursing infants (from contaminants transferred in mother’s milk), and, in one case, risks to consumers from ingestion of locally harvested alligators! We also analyze, and emphasize, key uncertainties inherent in these assessments.

Sample Projects


Links are provided to several reports that highlight multi-pathway risk assessment issues:

  1. “Evaluating the Local Impacts of Mercury Emissions from a Point Source,” presented at the A&WMA Specialty Conference on Mercury Emissions: Fate, Effects and Control August 21-23, 2001, Chicago, Illinois — which emphasizes the importance of using site-specific data in assessing potential exposure to mercury from combustor emissions.

    Manuscript Presentation Slides
  2. “HWC Risk Assessments: Ruled by Uncertainty,” presented at the Hazardous Waste Combustors Specialty Conference and Exhibition, April 1-2, 2003, Charleston, South Carolina — which describes specific areas of the U.S. EPA’s Human Health Risk Assessment Protocol guidance that can introduce significant errors and uncertainties.

    Manuscript Presentation Slides
  3. “Risk Assessment Perspectives on Air Dispersion Modeling,” presented at the Guideline on Air Quality Models: Applications and Flag Developments A&WMA Specialty Conference, April 26-28, 2006, Denver, Colorado — which discusses features and shortcomings of pollutant deposition algorithms incorporated within the U.S EPA’s AERMOD system.

    Manuscript Presentation Slides
  4. “Recent Observations on Risk Assessments of Combustor Stack Emissions,” presented at the International Thermal Treatment Technologies A&WMA Specialty Conference, May 12-16, 2008, Montreal, Quebec — which compares deposition modeling predictions of the AERMOD and ISCST3 models and describes modeling extensions to evaluate topics such as the promotion of invasive plant species due to nitrogen deposition, and the potential for acid fog formation to cause subsequent damage to vegetation.

    Manuscript Presentation Slides
  5. A human health and ecological risk assessment was conducted for a Portland cement manufacturing facility located in Greencastle, Indiana that uses hazardous waste as an alternative fuel. The multi-pathway assessments helped the U.S. EPA evaluate potential risks to human health and the environment due to the facility’s stack and fugitive emissions. Detailed procedures were developed to model atmospheric deposition that were useful in assessing and comparing mercury impacts due to both the measured and the proposed MACT-based mercury emission rates.

    Report  
  6. Harrisburg, Pennsylvania renovated its waste-to-energy facility to meet stringent federal MACT standards. This multi-pathway health risk assessment finds very small incremental risk levels due to the facility’s emissions of cadmium, lead, mercury, polychlorinated dibenzo(p)dioxins/furans, and various other pollutants. One interesting aspect of the assessment involves the modeled relationship between mercury concentrations in surface water and fish. Sampling data in Pennsylvania (collected by others) support a high bioaccumulation factor for methyl mercury similar to the factor endorsed by the U.S. EPA. However, because measured fractions of methylated mercury in Pennsylvania surface waters were lower than the default fraction recommended by the EPA, a significantly lower overall mercury bioaccumulation factor was used.

    Report  
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