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Description
Cambridge Environmental develops, evaluates, and implements
mathematical models to estimate exposures to pollutants and associated
risks. Such models are useful, for example, in estimating
concentrations of chemicals in media for which direct measurements are
limited or unavailable. We are also expert in finding and correcting
flaws in physical models upon which regulatory agencies and others
depend.
Cambridge Environmental uses computational, statistical, and graphical
tools to analyze data with efficiency and intelligence. We identify
patterns and inconsistencies in complex sets of data, use fundamental
chemical and physical principles to build robust models, and thereby
solve the problems at hand.
Sample Projects
- In a recent project, Cambridge Environmental designed a soil gas
model to estimate exposure to chemicals volatilizing from an
underground plume into indoor air in a residential community. A
large spill of petroleum products had migrated from storage tanks
some distance beneath a common area and several neighborhood
homes. The petroleum products had floated on the groundwater
surface and become smeared throughout a soil zone due to
fluctuations in groundwater levels. The regulatory authorities
were concerned about the potential for off-gassing of benzene,
toluene, ethylbenzene and xylene (BTEX) vapors from the plume or
smear zone, through the soil, and into the neighborhood homes, and
indicated that use of EPA’s default models for vapor transport
from groundwater or product plumes through soil into homes
resulted in vapor concentration estimates in neighborhood homes
that were unacceptably high.
We performed and documented a statistical analysis of the vapor
measurements that showed there was no difference in measured BTEX
concentrations between homes above the plume and those not above
the plume, even though such background concentrations were larger
than the 10–6 “acceptable risk” level. We then designed and
implemented a simple spreadsheet model that simultaneously
incorporated all the physical processes considered by the EPA
default models, including the variation of soil water content with
depth and air infiltration into a house, while additionally
including the effect of the smear zone of petroleum hydrocarbons
and dampening of off-gassing due to infiltration of rainwater.
Applying this model to the site soil data, we found that the
estimated indoor air concentrations due to the plume were
negligibly small and presented no additional unacceptable risks.
We demonstrated that a more sophisticated view of physical forces
could indeed be modeled simply, practically, and conservatively.
The effort was successful, since infiltration of vapors was
subsequently not considered important by the regulatory
authorities.
- A recent project completed for a chemical manufacturer involved
a lawsuit filed by a volunteer fireman who had responded to a
chemical spill caused by a leaking tanker truck. The fireman
claimed that exposure to fumes caused him permanent injury.
Cambridge Environmental estimated the chemical concentrations
likely to have resulted from the incident, and showed that these
concentrations were insufficient to cause the alleged health
effects. Based in part on the strength of our analysis, the
manufacturer reached a favorable settlement with the plaintiff.
- In recent years, the U.S. EPA has developed guidance for
performing multi-pathway risk assessments for waste incinerators.
We have been assembling methodologies for performing such
assessments for several years, and have previously incorporated
many of the methods into other risk assessments. In one particular
project, we proposed to EPA a protocol for the most complete
multi-pathway assessment to date, including a complete uncertainty
analysis. In addition, we have performed detailed quantitative
analyses, including the necessary data, of the methods required.
We expect to implement this protocol, or a similar one, at a
future date.
The analyses that we prepared for this project were incorporated
into comments to the U.S. EPA on several of their draft guidance
documents. All are quantitative, involve analysis of current
literature, and incorporate uncertainty estimates. They include:
- Analysis of available air dispersion models for application to
multi-pathway assessments at our client's site (which is
situated in complex terrain), together with suggested
alternatives to result in substantial improvements;
- Dose-response analysis for carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic
effects;
- Estimation of emission rates, based on application of a
statistical model to an existing database; and
- Evaluation of: PCDD/PCDF vapor-particle partitioning under
ambient conditions and in combustor plumes; vapor uptake by
plants; beef and cow bioconcentration/biotransfer coefficients;
wet- and dry-deposition coefficients; and water/sediment
partitioning models.
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